• Ramanathan Kasivisvanathan, Nima Abbassi-Ghadi, Andrew D M McLeod, Alex Oliver, Ravishankar Rao Baikady, Shaman Jhanji, Stephen Cone, and Timothy Wigmore.
• Department of Anaesthesia and Critical Care, The Royal Marsden, London, UK.
• HPB (Oxford). 2015 Jul 1; 17 (7): 637-43.

ObjectivesCardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) may predict which patients are at risk for adverse outcomes after major abdominal surgery. The primary aim of this study was to determine whether CPET variables are predicative of morbidity.MethodsHigh-risk patients undergoing elective, one-stage, open hepatic resection were preoperatively assessed using CPET. Morbidity, as defined by the Postoperative Morbidity Survey (POMS), was assessed on postoperative day 3.ResultsA total of 104 patients underwent preoperative CPET and were included in the analysis. Of these, 73 patients (70.2%) experienced postoperative morbidity. Oxygen consumption at anaerobic threshold (V˙O2 at AT, ml/kg/min) was the only CPET predictor of postoperative morbidity on multivariable analysis, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.66 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.55-0.76]. In patients requiring a major hepatic resection (three or more segments), a V˙O2 at AT of <10.2 ml/kg/min gave an AUC of 0.79 (95% CI 0.68-0.86) with 83.9% sensitivity and 52.0% specificity, 80.6% positive predictive value and 62.5% negative predictive value.ConclusionsThe application of a cut-off value for V˙O2 at AT of <10.2 ml/kg/min in patients undergoing major hepatic resection may be useful for predicting which patients will experience morbidity.© 2015 International Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Association.

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