• Azim Honarmand and Mohammadreza Safavi.
• Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran. honarmand@med.mui.ac.ir
• Ulus Travma Acil Cer. 2008 Apr 1;14(2):110-7.

BackgroundThis study validates the accuracy of the Injury Severity Score (ISS) and the New Injury Severity Score (NISS) systems for prediction of need intubatin (NI), need mechanical ventilation (NMV), and duration of mechanical ventilation (DMV) in intensive care unit (ICU) trauma patient admissions.MethodsOne-hundred ten trauma patients were included in this prospective cohort study. The predictive accuracies of the ISS and the NISS were compared using Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) curves and Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) statistics for the logistic regression model of ICU admission.ResultsFor prediction of NI, the best cut-off points were 22 for ISS and 27 for NISS. The positive prediction value was 91.6% in NISS and 87.8% in ISS. The Youden index had best cut-off points at 0.47 for NISS and 0.57 for ISS. The area under Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.79 in the ISS and 0.86 in the ISS. There were statistical differences among NISS with ISS in terms of Youden index and the area under the ROC curve (p<0.05). For the prediction of NMV, NISS yielded significantly better results in the area under the ROC curve and Youden index than those of ISS (p<0.05).ConclusionFor prediction of NI or NMV, the NISS has better accuracy than ISS.

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