• Martín Ruiz Ortiz, Elías Romo, Dolores Mesa, Mónica Delgado, Manuel Anguita, Amador López Granados, Juan C Castillo, José M Arizón, and José Suárez de Lezo.
• Servicio de Cardiología, Hospital Reina Sofía, Córdoba, España. mruor@supercable.es
• Rev Esp Cardiol. 2008 Jan 1;61(1):29-35.

Introduction And ObjectivesA new index for predicting embolic risk in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation has been proposed, the CHADS2 score, which is calculated by adding 1 point each for the presence of congestive heart failure, hypertension, age 75 years or older, and diabetes, and by adding 2 points for a history of stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA). Our objective was to evaluate the use of this score in a Mediterranean population.MethodsBetween February 1st, 2000 and December 20th, 2006, all patients with permanent nonvalvular atrial fibrillation being treated at two outpatient cardiology clinics in a university hospital in the south of Spain were offered antithrombotic therapy in accordance with scientific society recommendations and were prospectively monitored for embolic events (i.e., stroke, TIA or peripheral embolism). A CHADS2 score was derived for each of the 296 patients who did not receive anticoagulation.ResultsThe CHADS2 score was 0 in 69 (23.3%) patients, 1 in 81 (27.4%), 2 in 99 (33.4%), 3 in 30 (10.1%), and 4 or more in 17 (5.7%). After 21 (17) months of follow-up, the embolic event rates for CHADS2 scores of 0, 1, 2, 3, and > or =4 were 2.88, 5.80, 5.16, 14.78 and 22.02 per 100 patient-years, respectively (P=.0016). Patients with a CHADS2 score from 0-2 had an embolic rate of 4.63 per 100 patient-years, compared with 17.31 per 100 patient-years in those with a score > or =3 (P=.00087).ConclusionsThe CHADS2 score proved useful for quantifying the risk of an embolic event in Mediterranean patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. In our series, the risk of embolism in patients with a low score was not negligible.

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