• Int. J. Infect. Dis. · Sep 2014

    Multicenter Study

    Predictors of early mortality in very elderly patients with bacteremia: a prospective multicenter cohort.

    • Pilar Retamar, María Dolores López-Prieto, Fernando Rodríguez-López, Marina de Cueto, María V García, Verónica González-Galan, Alfonso Del Arco, María J Pérez-Santos, Francisco Téllez-Pérez, Berta Becerril-Carral, Andrés Martín-Aspas, Ascensión Arroyo, Salvador Pérez-Cortés, Federico Acosta, Carmen Florez, Laura León-Ruiz, Leopoldo Muñoz-Medina, Jesús Rodríguez-Baño, and SAEI/SAMPAC/REIPI Bacteremia Group.
    • Unidad Clínica de Enfermedades Infecciosas y Microbiología, Hospital Universitario Virgen Macarena, Seville, Spain; Red Española de Investigación en Patología Infecciosa, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain. Electronic address: pilaretamar@hotmail.com.
    • Int. J. Infect. Dis. 2014 Sep 1;26:83-7.

    ObjectivesThe proportion of very elderly people in the population is increasing, and infectious diseases in this patient group may present with specific characteristics. The objective of this study was to investigate the outcome predictors of bacteremia among the very elderly.MethodsThis was a multicenter prospective cohort study of bloodstream infections (BSI) in patients ≥ 80 years old in 15 hospitals in Spain. The outcome variables were 14-day and 30-day mortality. Multivariate analysis was performed.ResultsOne hundred and twenty episodes were included. Mortality was 22% (n = 26) on day 14 and 28% (n = 34) on day 30. In the univariate analysis, the variables associated with mortality were neutropenia, recent surgery, Pitt score ≥ 2, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, severe sepsis or shock, and abdominal, unknown, and respiratory tract sources. In the multivariate analysis, variables associated with mortality on day 14 were high-risk source (abdominal, unknown, and respiratory tract sources; odds ratio (OR) 7.9, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.8-33.9), Pitt score ≥ 2 (OR 5.6, 95% CI 1.3-23.3), inadequate empirical treatment (OR 11.24, 95% CI 1.6-80.2), and severe sepsis or shock at presentation (OR 5.3, 95% CI 1.4-20.7); the interaction between empiric treatment and high-risk source was significant. On day 30, mortality was independently related to a high-risk source (OR 2.92, 95% CI 1.1-7.5) and presentation with severe sepsis or shock (OR 3.81, 95% CI 1.2-12.4).ConclusionsPresentation with severe sepsis or shock and a high-risk source of BSI were independent predictors of 14-day and 30-day mortality. Inadequate empirical treatment was also a predictor of early mortality in patients with a high-risk source.Copyright © 2014 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.

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