• Lea Borgi, Eric B Rimm, Walter C Willett, and John P Forman.
• Renal Division, Brigham and Women's Hospital, 75 Francis Street, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
• BMJ. 2016 May 17; 353: i2351.

ObjectiveTo determine whether higher intake of baked or boiled potatoes, French fries, or potato chips is associated with incidence of hypertension.DesignProspective longitudinal cohort studies.SettingHealthcare providers in the United States.Participants62 175 women in Nurses' Health Study, 88 475 women in Nurses' Health Study II, and 36 803 men in Health Professionals Follow-up Study who were non-hypertensive at baseline.Main Outcome MeasureIncident cases of hypertension (self reported diagnosis by healthcare provider).ResultsCompared with consumption of less than one serving a month, the random effects pooled hazard ratios for four or more servings a week were 1.11 (95% confidence interval 0.96 to 1.28; P for trend=0.05) for baked, boiled, or mashed potatoes, 1.17 (1.07 to 1.27; P for trend=0.001) for French fries, and 0.97 (0.87 to 1.08; P for trend=0.98) for potato chips. In substitution analyses, replacing one serving a day of baked, boiled, or mashed potatoes with one serving a day of non-starchy vegetables was associated with decreased risk of hypertension (hazard ratio 0.93, 0.89 to 0.96).ConclusionHigher intake of baked, boiled, or mashed potatoes and French fries was independently and prospectively associated with an increased risk of developing hypertension in three large cohorts of adult men and women.Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://group.bmj.com/group/rights-licensing/permissions.

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