• Health affairs · Mar 2008

    Health spending projections through 2017: the baby-boom generation is coming to Medicare.

    • Sean Keehan, Andrea Sisko, Christopher Truffer, Sheila Smith, Cathy Cowan, John Poisal, M Kent Clemens, and National Health Expenditure Accounts Projections Team.
    • Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, in Baltimore, Maryland.
    • Health Aff (Millwood). 2008 Mar 1; 27 (2): w145-55.

    AbstractThe outlook for national health spending calls for continued steady growth. Spending growth is projected to be 6.7 percent in 2007, similar to its rate in 2006. Average annual growth over the projection period is expected to be 6.7 percent. Slower growth in private spending toward the end of the period is expected to be offset by stronger growth in public spending. The health share of gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to increase to 16.3 percent in 2007 and then rise throughout the projection period, reaching 19.5 percent of GDP by 2017.

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