• Anat Ekka-Zohar, Yana Zitser-Gurevich, Micha Mandel, Inbal Weiss-Salz, Sharon Nir, Eitan Mor, Nakash Richard, Hadar Merhav, Rafael Bruck, and Elisheva Simchen.
• Department of Health Services Research, Ministry of Health, Jerusalem, Israel. anat.zohar@moh.health.gov.il
• Isr Med Assoc J. 2006 Jun 1; 8 (6): 400-5.

BackgroundThere is a dearth of organs for liver transplantation in Israel. Enhancing our understanding of factors affecting graft survival in this country could help optimize the results of the transplant operation.ObjectivesTo report 3 years national experience with orthotopic liver transplantation, and to evaluate patient and perioperative risk factors that could affect 1 year graft survival.MethodsThe study related to all 124 isolated adult liver transplantations performed in Israel between October 1997 and October 2000. Data were abstracted from the medical records. One-year graft survival was described using the Kaplan-Meier survival curve and three multivariate logistic regression models were performed: one with preoperative case-mix factors alone, and the other two with the addition of donor and operative factors respectively.ResultsOf the 124 liver transplantations performed, 32 failed (25.8%). The 1 year survival was lower than rates reported from both the United States and Europe but the difference was not significant. Of the preoperative risk factors, recipient age > 60 years, critical condition prior to surgery, high serum bilirubin and serum hemoglobin < or = 10 g/dl were independently associated with graft failure, adjusting for all the other factors that entered the logistic regression equation. Extending the model to include donor and operative factors raised the C-statistic from 0.79 to 0.87. Donor age > or = 40, cold ischemic time > 10 hours and a prolonged operation (> 10 hours) were the additional predictors for graft survival. A MELD score of over 18 was associated with a sixfold increased risk for graft failure (odds ratio = 6.5, P = 0.001).ConclusionsGraft survival in Israel is slightly lower than that reported from the U.S. and Europe. Adding donor and operative factors to recipient characteristics significantly increased our understanding of 1 year survival of liver grafts.

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