• Alison J Rodger, Valentina Cambiano, Tina Bruun, Pietro Vernazza, Simon Collins, Jan van Lunzen, Giulio Maria Corbelli, Vicente Estrada, Anna Maria Geretti, Apostolos Beloukas, David Asboe, Pompeyo Viciana, Félix Gutiérrez, Bonaventura Clotet, Christian Pradier, Jan Gerstoft, Rainer Weber, Katarina Westling, Gilles Wandeler, Jan M Prins, Armin Rieger, Marcel Stoeckle, Tim Kümmerle, Teresa Bini, Adriana Ammassari, Richard Gilson, Ivanka Krznaric, Matti Ristola, Robert Zangerle, Pia Handberg, Antonio Antela, Sris Allan, Andrew N Phillips, Jens Lundgren, and PARTNER Study Group.
• Research Department of Infection and Population Health, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
• JAMA. 2016 Jul 12; 316 (2): 171-81.

ImportanceA key factor in assessing the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of antiretroviral therapy (ART) as a prevention strategy is the absolute risk of HIV transmission through condomless sex with suppressed HIV-1 RNA viral load for both anal and vaginal sex.ObjectiveTo evaluate the rate of within-couple HIV transmission (heterosexual and men who have sex with men [MSM]) during periods of sex without condoms and when the HIV-positive partner had HIV-1 RNA load less than 200 copies/mL.Design, Setting, And ParticipantsThe prospective, observational PARTNER (Partners of People on ART-A New Evaluation of the Risks) study was conducted at 75 clinical sites in 14 European countries and enrolled 1166 HIV serodifferent couples (HIV-positive partner taking suppressive ART) who reported condomless sex (September 2010 to May 2014). Eligibility criteria for inclusion of couple-years of follow-up were condomless sex and HIV-1 RNA load less than 200 copies/mL. Anonymized phylogenetic analysis compared couples' HIV-1 polymerase and envelope sequences if an HIV-negative partner became infected to determine phylogenetically linked transmissions.ExposuresCondomless sexual activity with an HIV-positive partner taking virally suppressive ART.Main Outcomes And MeasuresRisk of within-couple HIV transmission to the HIV-negative partner.ResultsAmong 1166 enrolled couples, 888 (mean age, 42 years [IQR, 35-48]; 548 heterosexual [61.7%] and 340 MSM [38.3%]) provided 1238 eligible couple-years of follow-up (median follow-up, 1.3 years [IQR, 0.8-2.0]). At baseline, couples reported condomless sex for a median of 2 years (IQR, 0.5-6.3). Condomless sex with other partners was reported by 108 HIV-negative MSM (33%) and 21 heterosexuals (4%). During follow-up, couples reported condomless sex a median of 37 times per year (IQR, 15-71), with MSM couples reporting approximately 22,000 condomless sex acts and heterosexuals approximately 36,000. Although 11 HIV-negative partners became HIV-positive (10 MSM; 1 heterosexual; 8 reported condomless sex with other partners), no phylogenetically linked transmissions occurred over eligible couple-years of follow-up, giving a rate of within-couple HIV transmission of zero, with an upper 95% confidence limit of 0.30/100 couple-years of follow-up. The upper 95% confidence limit for condomless anal sex was 0.71 per 100 couple-years of follow-up.Conclusions And RelevanceAmong serodifferent heterosexual and MSM couples in which the HIV-positive partner was using suppressive ART and who reported condomless sex, during median follow-up of 1.3 years per couple, there were no documented cases of within-couple HIV transmission (upper 95% confidence limit, 0.30/100 couple-years of follow-up). Additional longer-term follow-up is necessary to provide more precise estimates of risk.

33 keywords...

hide…