• João V Santos, João Viana, José Amarante, and Alberto Freitas.
• CIDES-Department of Health Information and Decision Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, University of Porto, Portugal; CINTESIS-Centre for Health Technology and Services Research, Portugal. Electronic address: jvasco.santos@gmail.com.
• Burns. 2017 Mar 1; 43 (2): 403-410.

IntroductionDespite the high burden of children with burns, there is not a paediatric burn unit (PBU) in Portugal. We aimed to estimate the Portuguese health care providing needs on paediatric burns.MethodsWe performed a nation-wide retrospective study, between 2009 and 2013, among less than 16 years-old inpatients with burns that met the transfer criteria to a burn unit in Portugal. A bed-day approach was used, targeting an occupancy rate of 70-75%, and possible locations were studied. The primary outcome was the number of beds needed, and secondary outcomes were the overload and revenue for each possible number of beds in a PBU.ResultsA total of 1155 children met the transfer criteria to a burn unit, representing a total of 17,371 bed-days. Occupancy rates of 11-bed, 12-bed, 13-bed and 14-bed PBU were, respectively, 79.7%, 75.3%, 71.0% and 66.8%. The 13-bed PBU scenario would represent an overload of 523 bed-days, revenue of more than 5 million Euros and a ratio of 1 PBU bed per 123,409 children.ConclusionsUsing a groundbreaking approach, the optimal number of PBU beds needed in Portugal is 13. However, as half of the patients who met burn transfer criteria are not transferred, this bed number might be overestimated if this pattern maintains, despite the underestimation with our method approach. If a PBU is to be created the preferable location is Porto. Cost-effectiveness studies should be performed.Copyright © 2016 Elsevier Ltd and ISBI. All rights reserved.

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