• J. Am. Coll. Surg. · Feb 2010

    Prospective clinical trial of factors predicting the early development of incisional hernia after midline laparotomy.

    • Radovan Veljkovic, Mladjan Protic, Aleksandar Gluhovic, Zoran Potic, Zoran Milosevic, and Alexander Stojadinovic.
    • Clinic of Abdominal, Endocrine and Transplantation Surgery, Clinical Center Vojvodina, Novi Sad, Serbia.
    • J. Am. Coll. Surg. 2010 Feb 1; 210 (2): 210-9.

    BackgroundInformation-based scoring systems predictive of outcomes of midline laparotomy are needed; these systems can support surgical decisions with the aim of improving patient outcomes and quality of life, and reducing the risk of secondary surgical procedures.Study DesignAll study subjects were followed for a minimum of 6 months after operation. Numerous demographic, clinical, treatment, and outcomes-related perioperative factors were recorded to determine statistical association with the primary end point: incisional hernia development. The first analysis was designed to establish the statistical model (scoring system) for estimating the risk of incisional hernia within 6 months of midline laparotomy. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed. A simple additive model was constructed using stepwise logistic and linear regression. The second part of the study analysis was validation of the scoring systems developed initially.ResultsA logistic linear minimum regression model was developed based on four covariates independently predictive of incisional hernia: Body mass index (BMI) > 24.4kg/m(2); fascial suture to incision ratio (SIR) < 4.2; deep surgical site, deep space, or organ infection (SSI); and time to suture removal or complete epithelialization >16 days (TIME). The hernia risk scoring system equation [p(%) = 32(SIR) + 30(SSI) + 9(TIME) + 2(BMI)] provided accurate estimates of incisional hernia according to stratified risk groups based on total score: low (0 to 5 points), 1.0%; moderate (6 to 15 points), 9.7%; increased (16 to 50 points), 30.2%; and markedly increased (>50 points), 73.1%.ConclusionsA statistically valid, straightforward, and clinically useful predictive model was developed for estimating the risk of incisional hernia within 6 months of midline laparotomy. Prospective independent validation of this model appears indicated.

      Pubmed     Full text   Copy Citation     Plaintext  

      Add institutional full text...

    Notes

     
    Knowledge, pearl, summary or comment to share?
    300 characters remaining
    help        
    You can also include formatting, links, images and footnotes in your notes
    • Simple formatting can be added to notes, such as *italics*, _underline_ or **bold**.
    • Superscript can be denoted by <sup>text</sup> and subscript <sub>text</sub>.
    • Numbered or bulleted lists can be created using either numbered lines 1. 2. 3., hyphens - or asterisks *.
    • Links can be included with: [my link to pubmed](http://pubmed.com)
    • Images can be included with: ![alt text](https://bestmedicaljournal.com/study_graph.jpg "Image Title Text")
    • For footnotes use [^1](This is a footnote.) inline.
    • Or use an inline reference [^1] to refer to a longer footnote elseweher in the document [^1]: This is a long footnote..

    hide…

What will the 'Medical Journal of You' look like?

Start your free 21 day trial now.

We guarantee your privacy. Your email address will not be shared.