• Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis · Jan 2017

    Observational Study

    Colds as predictors of the onset and severity of COPD exacerbations.

    • Neil W Johnston, Marita Olsson, Staffan Edsbäcker, Maria Gerhardsson de Verdier, Per Gustafson, Christopher McCrae, Peter V Coyle, and R Andrew McIvor.
    • Department of Medicine, Firestone Institute for Respiratory Health, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.
    • Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis. 2017 Jan 1; 12: 839-848.

    RationaleCommon colds are associated with acute respiratory symptom exacerbations in COPD patients.ObjectiveTo determine exacerbation risk and severity in COPD patients with/without coincident self-reported colds.MethodsGlobal initiative for chronic Obstructive Lung Disease stage I-IV COPD patients electronically transmitted respiratory symptom diaries to research staff daily between December 2006 and April 2009. Respiratory symptom worsening prompted contact by a study nurse and patient assessment to determine if a cold was present or an exacerbation underway. A composite daily symptom score was derived for each subject from diarized symptom data. The exacerbation/cold/virus relation was examined using a Poisson regression model, the relation of colds to respiratory symptom severity using generalized estimating equation models.ResultsDaily diary transmission compliance of >97% enabled detection of all possible exacerbations. Among 262 exacerbations meeting Anthonisen criteria, 218 (83%) had cold-like symptoms present at their inception, but respiratory viruses were detected in only 106 (40%). Within-subject exacerbation risk was 30 times (95% confidence interval [CI]: 20, 47; P<0.001) greater with colds present. Compared to cold- and virus-negative exacerbations (n=57), the mean increase in composite symptom score in those cold and virus positive (n=79) was 0.93 (95% CI: 0.61, 1.25; P<0.001), cold-positive and virus-negative exacerbations (n=100) 0.51 (95% CI: 0.21, 0.81; P<0.001), cold-negative and virus-positive exacerbations (n=26) 0.58 (95% CI: 0.23, 0.94; P<0.001).ConclusionThis study emphasizes the importance of colds in COPD exacerbation risk and severity, even in the absence of virus detection. COPD patients should act promptly when cold symptoms appear to facilitate early intervention for exacerbation prevention or management.

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