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Journal of critical care · Aug 2017
A risk scoring model based on vital signs and laboratory data predicting transfer to the intensive care unit of patients admitted to gastroenterology wards.
- Won-Young Kim, Jinmi Lee, Ju-Ry Lee, Youn Kyung Jung, Hwa Jung Kim, Jin Won Huh, Chae-Man Lim, Younsuck Koh, and Sang-Bum Hong.
- Department of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, 88 Olympic-ro 43-Gil, Songpa-gu, Seoul 05505, Republic of Korea. Electronic address: steve8126@hanmail.net.
- J Crit Care. 2017 Aug 1; 40: 213-217.
PurposeTo compare the ability of a score based on vital signs and laboratory data with that of the modified early warning score (MEWS) to predict ICU transfer of patients with gastrointestinal disorders.Materials And MethodsConsecutive events triggering medical emergency team activation in adult patients admitted to the gastroenterology wards of the Asan Medical Center were reviewed. Binary logistic regression was used to identify factors predicting transfer to the ICU. Gastrointestinal early warning score (EWS-GI) was calculated as the sum of simplified regression weights (SRW).ResultsOf the 1219 included patients, 468 (38%) were transferred to the ICU. Multivariate analysis identified heart rate≥105bpm (SRW 1), respiratory rate≥26bpm (SRW 2), ACDU (Alert, Confused, Drowsy, Unresponsive) score≥1 (SRW 2), SpO2/FiO2 ratio<240 (SRW 2), creatinine ≥2.0mg/dL (SRW 2), total bilirubin ≥9.0mg/dL (SRW 2), prothrombin time/international normalized ratio (INR) ≥1.5 (SRW 2), and lactate ≥3.0mmol/L (SRW 2) for inclusion in EWS-GI. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the EWS-GI was larger than that of MEWS (0.76 vs. 0.64; P<0.001).ConclusionsEWS-GI may predict ICU transfer among patients admitted to gastroenterology wards. The EWS-GI should be prospectively validated.Copyright © 2017 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
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