• Emerg Med J · Jan 2018

    Failure of falls risk screening tools to predict outcome: a prospective cohort study.

    • Kristie J Harper, Annette D Barton, Glenn Arendts, Deborah G Edwards, Antonio C Petta, and Antonio Celenza.
    • Occupational Therapy Department, Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital, Perth, Australia.
    • Emerg Med J. 2018 Jan 1; 35 (1): 28-32.

    ObjectiveTo compare the Falls Risk for Older Persons-Community Setting Screening Tool (FROP Com Screen) with the Two-Item Screening Tool in older adults presenting to the ED.MethodsA prospective cohort study, comparing the efficacy of the two falls risk assessment tools by applying them simultaneously in a sample of hospital ED presentations.ResultsTwo hundred and one patients over 65 years old were recruited. Thirty-six per cent reported falls in the 6-month follow-up period. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.57 (95% CI 0.48 to 0.66) for the FROP Com Screen and 0.54 (95% CI 0.45 to 0.63) for the Two-Item Screening Tool. FROP Com Screen had a sensitivity of 39% (95% CI 0.27 to 0.51) and a specificity of 70% (95% CI 0.61 to 0.78), while the Two-Item Screening Tool had a sensitivity of 48% (95% CI 0.36 to 0.60) and a specificity of 57% (95% CI 0.47 to 0.66).ConclusionBoth tools have limited predictive ability in the ED setting.© Article author(s) (or their employer(s) unless otherwise stated in the text of the article) 2018. All rights reserved. No commercial use is permitted unless otherwise expressly granted.

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