• Clin. Infect. Dis. · Jan 2011

    Projected impact and cost-effectiveness of a rotavirus vaccination program in India, 2008.

    • Douglas H Esposito, Jacqueline E Tate, Gagandeep Kang, and Umesh D Parashar.
    • Division of Viral Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 1600 Clinton Rd. NE, Atlanta, GA 30333, USA. hgj4@cdc.gov
    • Clin. Infect. Dis. 2011 Jan 15; 52 (2): 171-7.

    BackgroundTo assess the value of rotavirus vaccination in India, we determined the potential impact and cost-effectiveness of a national rotavirus vaccination program.MethodsWe compared the national rotavirus disease and cost burden with and without a vaccination program and assessed the cost-effectiveness of vaccination. Model inputs included measures of disease and cost burden, vaccine performance, and vaccination coverage and cost. We measured the annual number of health-related events and treatment costs averted, as well as the cost-effectiveness in US dollars per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) and cost per death averted. One-way sensitivity analyses were performed by individually varying each model input.ResultsWith use of a vaccine that has an estimated effectiveness of 50%, a rotavirus vaccination program in India would prevent ~44,000 deaths, ~293,000 hospitalizations, and ~328,000 outpatient visits annually, which would avert $20.6 million in medical treatment costs. Vaccination would be cost-saving at the GAVI Alliance price of $0.15 per dose. At $1.00 per dose, a vaccination program would cost $49.8 million, which would result in an expenditure of $21.41 per DALY averted or $662.94 per life saved. Even at $7.00 per dose, vaccination would be highly cost-effective. In sensitivity analyses, varying efficacy against severe rotavirus disease and vaccine price had the greatest impact on cost-effectiveness.ConclusionsA national rotavirus vaccination program in India would prevent substantial rotavirus morbidity and mortality and would be highly cost-effective at a range of vaccine prices. Public health officials can use this locally derived data to evaluate how this highly cost-effective intervention might fit into India's long-term health care goals.

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