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Only strict quarantine measures can curb the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Italy, 2020.
- Henrik Sjödin, Annelies Wilder-Smith, Sarah Osman, Zia Farooq, and Joacim Rocklöv.
- Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
- Eurosurveillance. 2020 Apr 1; 25 (13).
AbstractSeveral Italian towns are under lockdown to contain the COVID-19 outbreak. The level of transmission reduction required for physical distancing interventions to mitigate the epidemic is a crucial question. We show that very high adherence to community quarantine (total stay-home policy) and a small household size is necessary for curbing the outbreak in a locked-down town. The larger the household size and amount of time in the public, the longer the lockdown period needed.
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