• Internal medicine journal · Aug 2019

    Multicenter Study Observational Study

    Predictors of acute hospital mortality and length of stay in patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation: a first-hand experience from a medical emergency team response provider.

    • Paul M Thein, Julia Ong, Tim M Crozier, Arthur Nasis, Sam Mirzaee, Sean X Tan, and Ralph Junckerstorff.
    • Department of General Medicine, Monash Medical Centre, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
    • Intern Med J. 2019 Aug 1; 49 (8): 969-977.

    BackgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) occurs frequently following cardiothoracic surgery and treatment decisions are informed by evidence-based clinical guidelines. Outside this setting there are few data to guide clinical management.AimTo describe the characteristics, management and outcomes of hospitalised adult patients with new-onset AF.MethodsThe medical emergency team (MET) database was utilised to identify patients who had a 'MET call' activated for tachycardia between 2015 and 2016. Patients with sinus tachycardia, pre-existing AF/atrial flutter or other known tachyarrhythmia were excluded. Primary outcomes were length of hospital stay and in-hospital mortality.ResultsNew-onset AF was identified in 137 patients: 68 medically managed; 38 non-cardiothoracic post-operative; and 31 cardiothoracic post-operative. Mean age was 74 ± 11.6 years and 72 (53%) were male. Of 79 patients who underwent echocardiography, 80% had left atrial dilatation and 14% had reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Mean length of stay (LOS) was 12 days and in-hospital mortality rate was 11%. On multivariable analysis, the odds of death during acute hospitalisation was 7.4 times higher in patients with heart failure with reduced LVEF (odds ratio 7.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.23-44.8, P = 0.028). Length of acute hospital stay increased by 36% if the duration of AF was longer than 48 h (beta coefficient 0.36, 95% CI -0.015 to 0.74, P = 0.059).ConclusionLeft ventricular systolic dysfunction in hospitalised patients with new-onset AF is associated with increased all-cause mortality whereas lower serum potassium levels are associated with an increased LOS. A prospective study is planned to compare outcomes based on in-hospital treatment strategies.© 2019 Royal Australasian College of Physicians.

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