• Xia Zhang, Jing Yuan, Yong Zhan, Jingyi Wu, Biaohu Liu, Peng Zhang, Tao Yu, Zhen Wang, Xiaogan Jiang, and Weihua Lu.
• Department of Ultrasound, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wannan Medical College, No. 2 Zheshan West Road, Wuhu, 241001, Anhui Province, China.
• Ir J Med Sci. 2020 May 1; 189 (2): 661-668.

BackgroundTo explore the value of the right hemi-diaphragmatic excursion (DE) and its variation in predicting extubation outcome in mechanically ventilated patients with COPD.MethodsAll included patients with COPD received mechanical ventilation (MV) and were ready to wean from MV. After patients passed the 30 min spontaneous breathing trail (SBT), extubation was considered to be feasible, and the right DE measured by ultrasound at 0 min, 5 min, and 30 min of SBT were named as DE0, DE5, and DE30, respectively.ResultsTwenty-five patients succeeded extubation; 12 patients failed. The area under receiver operator characteristic curve (AUCROC) of DE30 and ΔDE30-5 (the variation between 30 and 5 min) were 0.762 and 0.835; a cutoff value of DE30 > 1.72 cm and ΔDE30-5 > 0.16 cm were associated with a successful extubation with a sensitivity of 76% and 84%, a specificity of 75% and 83.3%, respectively. The predictive probability equation of the DE30 plus ∆DE30-5 was P = 1/[1 + e-(-5.625+17.689×∆DE30-5+1.802×DE30)], a cutoff value of P > 0.626 was associated with a successful extubation with the AUCROC of 0.867, a sensitivity of 92%, and a specificity of 83.3%.ConclusionThe combination of DE30 and ∆DE30-5 could improve the predictive value and could be used as the predictor of extubation outcome in mechanically ventilated patients with COPD.

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