• Katri Mustonen, Timo Kauppila, Ossi Rahkonen, Jarmo Kantonen, Marko Raina, Tiina Mäki, and Kaisu Pitkälä.
• Department of General Practice and Primary Health Care, Faculty of Medicine, University of Helsinki, Finland.
• Scand J Prim Health Care. 2019 Dec 1; 37 (4): 452-458.

AbstractObjective: It is generally expected that the growth of the older population will lead to an increase in the use of health care services. The aim was to examine the changes in the number of visits made to general practitioners (GP) by the older age groups, and whether such changes were associated with changes in mortality rates.Design and setting: A register-based observational study in a Finnish city where a significant increase in the older population took place from 2003 to 2014. The number of GP visits made by the older population was calculated, the visits per person per year in two-year series, together with respective mortality rates.Subjects: The study population consisted of inhabitants aged 65 years and older (65+) in Vantaa that visited a GP in primary health care.Main outcome measures: The number of GP visits per person per year in the whole older population during the study years.Results: In 2009-2010, there was a sudden drop in GP visits per person in the younger (65-74 years) age groups examined. In the population aged 85+, use of GP visits remained at a fairly constant level. The mortality rate decreased until the year 2008. After that, the positive trend ended and the mortality rate plateaued.Conclusions: Simultaneously with the decline in GP visits per person in the older population, the mortality rate leveled off from its positive trend in 2009-2010. Factors identified being associated with the number of GP consultations were organizational changes in primary health care, economic recession causing retrenchment, and even vaccinations during the swine flu epidemic.Key pointsAlong with an increasingly ageing population, concern over the supply of publicly funded health care has become more pronounced.The amount of GP visits of 65+ decreased in primary health care, especially in the youngest groups.However, in the oldest age groups (85+), the use of GPs remained unchanged regardless of changes in service supply.As the rate of GP visits among the population of 65+ declined, the positive trend in the mortality rate ceased.

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