European journal of clinical investigation
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Eur. J. Clin. Invest. · May 2020
Course of oesophageal varices and performance of noninvasive predictors following Hepatitis C Virus clearance in compensated advanced chronic liver disease.
In patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) and compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD), there is evidence that sustained virological response (SVR) to direct-acting antivirals (DAA) may ameliorate portal hypertension, although both the course of oesophageal varices and the performance of their noninvasive predictors following DAA-induced SVR are less defined. In this study, our aim was to assess the variation in oesophageal varices status in HCV patients with cACLD who obtained an SVR to DAAs and to evaluate the diagnostic performance of noninvasive predictors of varices after HCV cure. ⋯ In HCV patients with cACLD, following SVR to DAA, the expanded Baveno VI criteria provide the best balance between utility (diagnostic accuracy and endoscopies avoided) and safety (varices needing treatment missed) for varices surveillance.
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Eur. J. Clin. Invest. · May 2020
EditorialRedefining significance and reproducibility for medical research: A plea for higher P-value thresholds for diagnostic and prognostic models.
The role of P-values for null hypothesis testing is under debate. We aim to explore the impact of the significance threshold on estimates for the strengths of associations ("effects") and the implications for different types of epidemiological research. We consider situations with normal distribution of a true effect, while varying the effect size. ⋯ We conclude that a lower P-value threshold for declaring statistical significance implies more exaggeration in an estimated effect. This implies that if a low threshold is used, effect size estimation should not be attempted, for example in the context of selecting promising discoveries that need further validation. Confirmatory studies, such as randomized controlled trials, might stick to the 0.05 threshold if adequately powered, while prediction modelling studies should use an even higher threshold, such as 0.2, to avoid strongly biased effect estimates.
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Eur. J. Clin. Invest. · May 2020
Gender difference in the impact of Ischaemic heart disease on heart failure.
Although the impact of ischaemic heart disease (IHD) on heart failure (HF) is evolving, there is uncertainty about the role of IHD in determining the risk of clinical outcomes by gender. This study evaluated the gender difference in the impact of IHD on long-term clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). ⋯ Ischaemic heart disease was an independent risk factor for long-term mortality in women with HFrEF. IHD should be actively evaluated in women with HF for predicting clinical outcomes and initiating appropriate treatment. Women with HF caused by IHD should be treated more meticulously to avoid a poor prognosis.