Annals of the Royal College of Surgeons of England
-
Ann R Coll Surg Engl · Jul 1995
How many trainees are needed in general surgery? A computer model to facilitate planning.
As a consequence of the reduction in junior doctors' hours, the intention to shorten training and the freedom of Trusts to appoint additional consultants, the requirement for trained surgeons has increased sharply. Whether this consultant expansion will be sustained, so as to reach the target of one general surgeon to 30,000 population, is uncertain. To improve the planning of the number of trainees in this unstable environment, a computer model has been established for the numbers of higher surgical trainees (HSTs) and consultants. ⋯ Thus urgent action is needed to increase the output of HSTs in general surgery. In view of the uncertain demand for additional consultants, the number of trainees, in each year of HST, should be monitored frequently. The number entering training may then be adjusted appropriately.