International journal of epidemiology
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Comment Biography Historical Article
Commentary: John Snow and alum-induced rickets from adulterated London bread: an overlooked contribution to metabolic bone disease.
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Most quantitative tests do not perfectly discriminate between subjects with and without a given disease and their results do not always allow certainty about disease status for diagnostic or screening purposes. We propose a method to construct a three-zone partition for quantitative tests to avoid the binary constraint of a 'black or white' decision that often does not fit the reality of clinical or screening practice. This partition intentionally includes a grey zone between positive and negative conclusions. ⋯ This method can be used both to display the discriminatory performance of a quantitative test in a variety of contexts and to scrutinize its components of variability. Due to the simplicity of the graphical representations, the grey zone approach may be useful during the development of quantitative tests and the publication of their performance.
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Large population-based cohort studies in areas of high hepatitis B virus (HBV) prevalence have provided the evidence establishing hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) carriage as a risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and liver disease. Fewer studies have examined this in Western countries, where both HBV infection and carriage are less common and transmission patterns differ. This is the only prospective population-based study to examine this relationship in Europe. ⋯ Hepatitis B surface antigen carriage is a significant risk factor in England and Wales for both liver disease and HCC mortality. However, this risk has declined with duration of follow-up. This could be due to natural reversion to HBsAg negativity or as a result of treatment and avoidance of other risk factors. The increased risk of non-Hodgkins lymphoma seen in longer follow-up is likely to be related to HIV infection acquired subsequent to recruitment.
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Large blood-based epidemiological studies require simple, cost-effective sample collection methods. Immediate sample separation or rapid transport of chilled blood samples to a central laboratory may be impractical or prohibitively expensive. To assess the feasibility and reliability of transporting blood samples over several days at ambient temperature (e.g. by mail), we evaluated the stability of various plasma analytes in samples stored at room temperature or chilled. ⋯ A wide range of important analytes, including lipids, change by only a few per cent in whole blood during storage at room temperature for several days. Mailed transport of whole blood samples may, therefore, be a simple and cost-effective option for large-scale epidemiological studies.