International journal of epidemiology
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Infections may be involved in some cases of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS). Exposure to such infections is likely to differ considerably between areas depending on rates of population mixing. It is therefore possible that the geography of SIDS will reflect that of population migration. ⋯ It is concluded that geographical variations in SIDS deaths in England and Wales are strongly associated with differences in rates of population mixing as measured by migration. The findings support the hypothesis that population mixing, by its influence on exposure to infections, may be a significant factor in the aetiology of SIDS.
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To improve measles control in Kinshasa, Zaire, a project to increase vaccine coverage was begun in 1988, and in 1989, the city vaccination programme changed measles vaccination policy from Schwartz vaccine at age 9 months to medium titre Edmonston Zagreb (EZ) vaccine at age 6 months. We report the impact of the programme on measles incidence and mortality. ⋯ Measles can be controlled in urban areas, although it is difficult to determine how great a contribution vaccination at age 6 months makes over and above the achievement of high coverage.
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In general females have a lower mortality than males at all ages. Excess female mortality has been documented in certain high mortality situations, in particular in South Asia. However, females may have a higher mortality for certain causes of death. One of the causes of death for which excess female mortality is suspected is measles. ⋯ When pooled together, the results show an excess of female mortality from birth until age 50 years. The excess female mortality appears small at age 0-4 (+4.2%), larger at age 5-14 (+10.9%) and peaks during the female reproductive period, at age 15-44 (+42.6%). This pattern of excess female mortality occurs in all the major regions of the world: Europe, North and South America, Far-East Asia, the Middle East and South Asia. The only noticeable exceptions are the Philippines and Thailand. The validity of the finding is extensively reviewed. Emphasis lies on the statistical power to prove that sex differences in measles mortality do exist, on the critical analysis of a case study in England and Wales, on the comparison with the overall pattern of sex differences and on available data on sex differences in incidence. Possible explanations are reviewed.
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Mid-level health managers in a developing country were studied to examine the extent to which they are able to use and analyse data they receive from a new health information system. Among 168 managers filling out a self-administered questionnaire, 52% could compute a simple cost-effectiveness ratio and 27% were able to calculate proportions. Only 43% of the managers were able to construct a cumulative graph similar to the one recommended by WHO. ⋯ Twelve out of 25 programme managers interviewed in depth did not know how well their particular programme had performed in the previous year. Similarly, only six of these managers knew their best and poorest performing districts. The results of this study suggest; 1) Training managers in data analysis and use is critical if health information systems are to actually improve health care delivery. 2) Data intended for the use of programme managers need to be presented in simple ways. 3) Further social research is required to understand how managers perceive and use data. 4) Efforts to ensure the use of data should not be seen as something to be 'added on' after information systems are in place.
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In order to determine whether firearm use was an increasing component of the general pattern of homicide in Cape Town, South Africa, hidden Markov time-series models were used to examine a week-by-week count of firearm homicides, non-firearm homicides, firearm suicides and non-firearm suicides for the 6-year period from 1986 to 1991. Of several models fitted to the proportion of homicides that involved firearms, the one which incorporated a discrete upward shift in the middle of 1991 was the most successful. ⋯ The sharp increase in 1991 in the probability that a homicide involved the use of a firearm is consistent with a reported upsurge in violence related to the so-called 'taxi wars'. Hidden Markov models, as a general methodology for the analysis of discrete-valued time series, may be a useful and flexible means of identifying time trends or points of transition related to events or interventions in a wide range of public health contexts.