Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making
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Failure of three decision rules to predict the outcome of in-hospital cardiopulmonary resuscitation.
The objective of this study was to evaluate three decision-support tools (the Pre-Arrest Morbidity or PAM score, the Prognosis After Resuscitation or PAR score, and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation or APACHE III score) for their abilities to predict the outcomes of in-hospital cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR). The medical records of all 656 adult inpatients undergoing CPR during a two-to-three-year period in three large hospitals were retrospectively reviewed, and demographic and clinical variables were abstracted. Of 656 patients undergoing resuscitation, 248 (37.8%) survived the resuscitation attempt long enough to be stabilized (immediate survival), but only 35 (5.3%) survived to discharge. ⋯ This is consistent with previous work utilizing the APACHE II score, which did not identify a threshold above which patients did not benefit from CPR. The findings for the PAR score and the PAM score stand in contrast to previous studies that found them to be potentially useful decision rules. Further work is needed to develop a decision-support tool that better discriminates between survivors and non-survivors of in-hospital CPR.
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Recent studies have shown that physicians do not accurately assess patients' health status or treatment preferences. Little is known, however, about how physicians' levels of training or experience relate to their abilities to assess these preferences. To better understand this phenomenon, the authors compared the abilities of medical interns and attending physicians to predict the choices of their adult patients for end-of-life care. ⋯ For this cohort of seriously ill patients, neither medical interns nor their attending physicians were consistently accurate in assessing patients' preferences, and attending physicians were not more accurate than medical interns. Attending physicians should not assume that they can infer patients' preferences any better than the interns caring for these hospitalized patients.