Statistics in medicine
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Statistics in medicine · Jul 1998
Comparative StudyAn evaluation of phase I cancer clinical trial designs.
Phase I clinical trials are designed to identify an appropriate dose for experimentation in phase II and III studies. I present the results from a simulation study to evaluate the performance of nine phase I designs involving the standard design, the two-stage modified Storer's design, the two-stage Korn's design, the one-stage modified continual reassessment method (CRM) designs, and the two-stage modified CRM designs. ⋯ The one-stage modified CRM II and III designs require much fewer numbers of cohorts than do the two-stage modified CRM II and III designs. The one-stage modified CRM II and III designs avoid the criticisms of the original CRM by reducing the average number of cohorts and toxicity incidences, while estimating the MTD more accurately than does the standard design.
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Statistics in medicine · Jul 1998
Some extensions and applications of a Bayesian strategy for monitoring multiple outcomes in clinical trials.
We present some practical extensions and applications of a strategy proposed by Thall, Simon and Estey for designing and monitoring single-arm clinical trials with multiple outcomes. We show by application how the strategy may be applied to construct designs for phase IIA activity trials and phase II equivalence trials. We also show how it may be extended to incorporate the use of mixture priors in settings where a Dirichlet distribution does not adequately quantify prior experience, randomized phase II selection trials involving two or more experimental treatments, and trials with group-sequential monitoring for applications involving multiple institutions.