Journal of vascular surgery
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Multicenter Study Comparative Study
Evaluation of five different aneurysm scoring systems to predict mortality in ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm patients.
Ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (RAAAs) are associated with a high overall mortality (up to 25% to 35%) ≤30 days when offered surgical treatment. Risk prediction models can provide valuable information on surgical risks, guide clinical decision making, and help identify patients who should not be operated on to prevent futile surgery. Finally, they can be used to evaluate clinical outcome. Different aneurysm scores are available. New ones (with only four parameters) are being developed, such as the Dutch Aneurysm Score (DAS). This study analyzed and compared these scoring models. ⋯ The performance of the tested models for the prediction of mortality in RAAA patients was comparable, with only a statistically significant difference between the VSS and the GAS in favor of the VSS. However, an almost perfect prediction is needed to withhold intervention, and no existing scoring system is capable of that.