The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences
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J. Gerontol. A Biol. Sci. Med. Sci. · Jan 2000
Preclinical mobility disability predicts incident mobility disability in older women.
Physical disability and dependency are serious, and frequent, adverse health outcomes associated with aging and resulting from chronic disease. Reasoning has suggested that there might be a preclinical, intermediate phase of disablement which might develop in parallel with progression of underlying disease and precede and predict disability. Definition of this stage could provide a basis for screening and early intervention to prevent disability. The objective of this study was to determine preclinical functional predictors of incident mobility difficulty and provide evidence for a preclinical stage of disability. ⋯ Two indicators of functional changes in older women without mobility difficulty, self-report of modification of method of doing a task in the absence of difficulty and performance measures, are independent and strong predictors of risk of incident mobility disability. The self-report measure provides substantial strength in predicting risk of incident disability across the full range of performance, and may identify a vulnerable point at which other risk factors act to cause transitions to disability. Together, the preclinical indicators identify a subset of high-functioning older women who are at high risk of mobility disability, and provide a potential basis for screening for disability risk and targeting interventions to prevent mobility disability.