Diabetes
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In 224 twin pairs (132 monozygotic, 86 dizygotic, and 6 of uncertain zygosity) in whom the index twin had developed IDDM before 30 yr of age, 51 of the co-twins (38 monozygotic, 10 dizygotic, and 3 of uncertain zygosity) subsequently became diabetic. On the basis of concordance ratios, which were significantly discrepant (P < 0.01) between monozygotic and dizygotic twins, the substantial genetic role in IDDM etiology is confirmed. For the monozygotic co-twin of an IDDM case, the relative risk is significantly related to an early age at proband diagnosis (P < 0.01 for 0-4 vs. 5-9 yr of age). ⋯ Taken together, these observations suggest an important early acquired determinant of IDDM, independent of genetic determinants. On the basis of Kaplan-Meier IDDM-free survival curves, if the proband is diagnosed before 15 yr of age, the long-term risk to the co-twin is estimated at 44% (monozygotic) and 19% (dizygotic); it reaches 65% for the co-twin of a monozygotic proband diagnosed before 5 yr of age. An IDDM discordant period of no more than 3 yr was observed in 60% of the pairs destined to become concordant, offering a very brief window for intervention following the recognition of high risk.