J Trauma
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TRISS has reigned as the preeminent trauma outcome prediction model for 20 years. Despite this endorsement, the calibration of TRISS has been poor in most data sets where it has been examined. We hypothesized that the lack of calibration of TRISS was because of the inappropriate mathematical specification of the model that TRISS is based on, rather than the predictors in the model. In particular, we hypothesized that the nonlinearity of the Injury Severity Score (ISS) in the log odds of death was responsible for the poor calibration of TRISS, and further, that this nonlinearity could be corrected by the simple addition of an ISS squared term to the TRISS model. ⋯ The TRISS model for outcome prediction currently uses ISS in a mathematically inappropriate way that impairs the calibration, but not the discrimination, of its predictions. If TRISS is to continue as the prediction standard for trauma, a quadratic ISS term must be added to the model. In the future, outcome prediction models should undergo thorough statistical modeling and evaluation before being released. Injury severity descriptors other than ISS (such as ASCOT, ICISS, or NISS) may require other modeling techniques to optimize the calibration of survival models that use these injury scores.
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Little controversy surrounds the treatment of hemodynamically unstable patients with transmediastinal gunshot wounds (TMGSWs). These patients generally have cardiac or major vascular injuries and require immediate operation. In hemodynamically stable patients, debate surrounds the extent and order of the diagnostic evaluation. These patients can be uninjured, or can have occult vascular, esophageal, or tracheobronchial injuries. Evaluation has traditionally often included angiography, bronchoscopy, esophagoscopy, esophagography, and pericardial evaluation (i.e., pericardial window) for all hemodynamically stable patients with TMGSWs. Expansion of the use of computed tomographic (CT) scanning in penetrating injury led to a modification of our protocol. Currently, our TMGSW evaluation algorithm for stable patients consists of chest radiograph, focused abdominal sonography for trauma, and contrast-enhanced helical CT scan of the chest with directed further evaluation. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the efficiency of contrast-enhanced helical CT scan for evaluating potential mediastinal injuries and to determine whether patients can be simply observed or require further investigational studies. ⋯ Contrast-enhanced helical CT scanning is a safe, efficient, and cost-effective diagnostic tool for evaluating hemodynamically stable patients with mediastinal gunshot wounds. Positive CT scan results direct the further evaluation of potentially injured structures. Patients with negative results can safely be observed in a monitored setting without further evaluation.
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Continuous arteriovenous rewarming (CAVR) has been shown to effectively reverse hypothermia; however, its use is limited in the setting of profound hypotension. We have evaluated the effectiveness of high-flow venovenous rewarming (HFVR) using bypass for the correction of hypothermia in a hypotensive canine model and compared these results to CAVR. ⋯ HFVR is an effective method for rapid rewarming in a profoundly hypothermic, hypotensive animal model and may have clinical utility in patients presenting with hypovolemia/hypotension complicated by hypothermia.