Zhonghua shao shang za zhi = Zhonghua shaoshang zazhi = Chinese journal of burns
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Zhonghua Shao Shang Za Zhi · Jun 2021
[Establishment of an early risk prediction model for bloodstream infection and analysis of its predictive value in patients with extremely severe burns].
Objective: To establish an early prediction model for bloodstream infection in patients with extremely severe burns based on the screened independent risk factors of the infection, and to analyze its predictive value. Methods: A retrospective case-control study was conducted. From January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2019, 307 patients with extremely severe burns were admitted to the Department of Burns and Plastic Surgery of Ruijin Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medcine, including 251 males and 56 females, aged from 33 to 55 years. ⋯ The area under the ROC curve in validation group was 0.759 (95% confidence interval=0.637-0.882). Conclusions: The total burn area, days of ICU stay, and combination of inhalation injury are the risk factors of bloodstream infection in patients with extremely severe burns. The early prediction model for bloodstream infection risk in patients with extremely severe burns based on these factors has certain predictive value for burn centers with relatively stable treatment methods and bacterial epidemiology.