• Jing Gong, Jiyu Liu, Wen Hao, Shengdong Nie, Bin Zheng, Shengping Wang, and Weijun Peng.
• Department of Radiology, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, 270 Dongan Road, Shanghai, 200032, China.
• Eur Radiol. 2020 Apr 1; 30 (4): 1847-1855.

ObjectiveTo develop a deep learning-based artificial intelligence (AI) scheme for predicting the likelihood of the ground-glass nodule (GGN) detected on CT images being invasive adenocarcinoma (IA) and also compare the accuracy of this AI scheme with that of two radiologists.MethodsFirst, we retrospectively collected 828 histopathologically confirmed GGNs of 644 patients from two centers. Among them, 209 GGNs are confirmed IA and 619 are non-IA, including 409 adenocarcinomas in situ and 210 minimally invasive adenocarcinomas. Second, we applied a series of pre-preprocessing techniques, such as image resampling, rescaling and cropping, and data augmentation, to process original CT images and generate new training and testing images. Third, we built an AI scheme based on a deep convolutional neural network by using a residual learning architecture and batch normalization technique. Finally, we conducted an observer study and compared the prediction performance of the AI scheme with that of two radiologists using an independent dataset with 102 GGNs.ResultsThe new AI scheme yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.92 ± 0.03 in classifying between IA and non-IA GGNs, which is equivalent to the senior radiologist's performance (AUC 0.92 ± 0.03) and higher than the score of the junior radiologist (AUC 0.90 ± 0.03). The Kappa value of two sets of subjective prediction scores generated by two radiologists is 0.6.ConclusionsThe study result demonstrates using an AI scheme to improve the performance in predicting IA, which can help improve the development of a more effective personalized cancer treatment paradigm.Key Points• The feasibility of using a deep learning method to predict the likelihood of the ground-glass nodule being invasive adenocarcinoma. • Residual learning-based CNN model improves the performance in classifying between IA and non-IA nodules. • Artificial intelligence (AI) scheme yields higher performance than radiologists in predicting invasive adenocarcinoma.

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