• Hao Zhang, Kristen Wroblewski, Yulei Jiang, Bill C Penney, Daniel Appelbaum, Cassie A Simon, Ravi Salgia, and Yonglin Pu.
• Department of Radiology, The University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637, United States; Department of Radiology, First Hospital of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu 730000, China.
• Lung Cancer. 2015 Jul 1; 89 (1): 43-9.

ObjectivesWhole-body metabolic tumor volume (MTVWB) has been shown of prognostic value for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) beyond that of TNM stage, age, gender, performance status, and treatment selection. The current TNM staging system does not incorporate tumor volumetric information. We propose a new PET/CT volumetric prognostic (PVP) index that combines the prognostic value of MTVWB and TNM stage.Materials And MethodsBased on 328 consecutive NSCLC patients with a baseline PET/CT scan before treatment, from which MTVWB was measured semi-automatically, we estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for ln(MTVWB) and TNM stage from a Cox proportional hazard regression model that consisted of only ln(MTVWB) and TNM stage as prognostic variables of overall survival. We used the regression coefficients, which gave rise to the HRs, as weights to formulate the PET/CT volumetric prognostic (PVP) index. We also compared the prognostic value of the PVP index against that of TNM stage alone and ln(MTVWB) alone with univariate and multivariate survival analyses and C-statistics.ResultsUnivariate analysis C-statistic for the PVP index (C=0.71) was statistically significantly greater than those for TNM stage alone (C=0.67, p<0.01) and for ln(MTVWB) alone (C=0.69, p=0.033). Multivariate analyses showed that the PVP index yielded significantly greater discriminatory power (C=0.74) than similar models based on either TNM stage (C=0.72, p<0.01) or ln(MTVWB) (C=0.73, p<0.01). Lower values of the PVP index were associated with significantly better overall survival (adjusted HR=2.70, 95%CI [2.16, 3.37]).ConclusionThe PVP index provides a practical means for clinicians to combine the prognostic value of MTVWB and TNM stage and offers significantly better prognostic accuracy for overall survival of NSCLC patients than the current TNM staging system or metabolic tumor burden alone.Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.

30 keywords...

hide…