• The Knee · Aug 2016

    Reliability of predictive models for non-operative healing potential of stable juvenile osteochondritis dissecans knee lesions.

    • Tyler J Uppstrom, Jonathan D Haskel, Elizabeth B Gausden, Russel Meyer, Yong-Woon Shin, Joseph T Nguyen, and Daniel W Green.
    • Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, NY 10021, USA. Electronic address: tyler.uppstrom@gmail.com.
    • Knee. 2016 Aug 1; 23 (4): 698-701.

    BackgroundWhile juvenile osteochondritis dissecans (JOCD) lesions have greater healing potential than equivalent lesions in adults, only 50% of JOCD lesions demonstrate radiographic healing after six months of non-operative treatment. Two previous studies have produced nomograms to predict a patient's probability of healing with non-operative treatment based on patient and lesion characteristics. The purpose of this study was to determine inter- and intra-observer reliability of the predictive nomograms.MethodsA consecutive series of 34 skeletally immature patients (40 knees), who underwent non-operative treatment for stable JOCD lesions was retrospectively reviewed. At two time points at least one week apart, two medical students, two orthopaedic surgeons, and a radiologist made measurements of the JOCD lesions. These measurements, along with patient ages and pain type, were used to generate a point value for each lesion based on both nomograms. Intra-class correlations (ICCs) were calculated to determine inter- and intra-rater reliability.ResultsWe found near perfect intra-rater correlation (ICC) for all raters' individual OCD measurements, as well as total point score for the two nomograms (ICC range, 0.780-0.929). Additionally, there was near perfect inter-rater reliability among raters for total scores and individual components of each nomogram (ICC range, 0.721-0.974).ConclusionsThere is high inter- and intra-rater reliability for both point systems for predicting healing of JOCD lesions. Clinicians should be aware of these as tools to help guide decision making in patients with JOCD lesions.Copyright © 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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