• Injury · Dec 2023

    FROST 2.0: Factors Predicting Orthopaedic Trauma Volumes - A Validation Study.

    • Martina Vergouwen, Adina Tarcea, Darren Van Essen, Eric C Sayre, and Neil J White.
    • Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, 2500 University Drive, NW T2N 1N4 Calgary, AB Canada. Electronic address: martina.vergouwen1@ucalgary.ca.
    • Injury. 2023 Dec 1; 54 (12): 111111111111.

    AbstractThe anecdotal relationship between weather, season, and orthopaedic trauma volumes is understood by patients and healthcare providers: when the winter ground is icy, people fall. Previous research established that winter and summer months as well as ice and snow were significant predictors of orthopaedic trauma and surges in volumes. The current study validates the previously established predictive model in one Canadian city; the original methods were repeated using a new, yet geographically similar dataset. The effect of month and ice were consistent, which suggests the proposed model has sufficient external validity to guide resource allocation and primary prevention strategies.Copyright © 2023. Published by Elsevier Ltd.

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