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Zhonghua Yu Fang Yi Xue Za Zhi · Jun 2020
[Analysis on epidemic situation and spatiotemporal changes of COVID-19 in Anhui].
- M Liu, H L Xu, M Yuan, Z R Liu, X Y Wu, Y Zhang, L Y Ma, L Gong, H Gan, W W Liu, S M Tao, Q Zong, Y N Du, and F B Tao.
- Department of Maternal, Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University/Population Health Across Life Cycle,Ministry of Education of the People's Republic of China/National Health Commission Key Laboratory of Study on Abnormal Gametes and Reproductive Tract,Hefei 230032, China.
- Zhonghua Yu Fang Yi Xue Za Zhi. 2020 Jun 6; 54 (6): 630-633.
AbstractWe used the epidemic data of COVID-19 published on the official website of the municipal health commissions in Anhui province to map the spatiotemporal changes of confirmed cases, fit the epidemic situation by the population growth curve at different stages and analyze the epidemic situation in Anhui Province. It was found that the cumulative incidence of COVID-19 was 156/100 000 by February 18, 2020 and the trend of COVID-19 epidemic declined after February 7 with a change from J-shaped curve to S-shaped curve. As the reporting time of cases might be 3-5 days later than the actual onset time, the number of new cases in Anhui province actually began to decline around February 2 to February 4, 2020.
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