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African health sciences · Sep 2021
Summer temperature and all-cause mortality from 2006 to 2015 for Hyderabad, India.
- Suresh K Rathi and Prahlad R Sodani.
- IIHMR University, Jaipur & MAMTA Health Institute for Mother and Child, New Delhi - 110048. rathisj07@gmail.com.
- Afr Health Sci. 2021 Sep 1; 21 (3): 1474-1481.
BackgroundStudies have documented a significant association between temperature and all-cause mortality for various cities but such data are unavailable for Hyderabad City.ObjectiveThe objective of this work was to assess the association between the extreme heat and all-cause mortality for summer months (March to June) from 2006 to 2015 for Hyderabad city population.MethodsWe obtained the data on temperature and all-cause mortality for at least ten years for summer months. Descriptive and Bivariate analysis were conducted. Pearson correlation coefficient was used to study the relationship between heat and all-cause mortality for lag time effect.ResultsA total of 122,117 deaths for 1,220 summer days (2006 to 2015) were analyzed with mean daily all-cause mortality was 100.1±21.5. There is an increase of 16% and 17% per day mean all-cause mortality at the maximum temperature of ≥40°C and for extreme danger days (Heat Index >54°C) respectively. The mean daily all-cause mortality shows a significant association with maximum temperature (P < 0.001) and Heat Index from caution to extreme danger risk days (P < 0.0183). The lag effect of extreme heat on all-cause mortality for the study period (2006 to 2015) was at peak on same day of the maximum temperature (r = 0.273 at p<0.01).ConclusionThe study concludes that the impact of ambient heat in the rise of all-cause mortality is clearly evident (16% mean deaths/day). There was no lag effect from the effect of extreme heat on all-cause mortality as the peak period was the same as the maximum temperature. Hence heat action plans are needed. However, extreme heat-related mortality merits further analysis.© 2021 Rathi SK et al.
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